Recent Hong Kong Observatory model runs and regional forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for May 20 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that supports clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows between 23–25°C amid light southerly flows and residual moisture, with trader consensus clustering on the 24–27°C band because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can alter the exact cooling rate by 1–2°C. Persistent high pressure favors the current leading outcome at 24°C, while any increase in convective activity or moisture advection could push readings toward 26–27°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 20 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 20 мая?
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 24%
25°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 мая 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
27%
25°C
11%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
1%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 24%
25°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 мая 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$356 Объем
<1%
21°C
$527 Объем
1%
22°C
$417 Объем
1%
23°C
$8 Объем
8%
24°C
$0 Объем
27%
25°C
$18 Объем
11%
26°C
$6 Объем
22%
27°C
$0 Объем
24%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$834 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$580 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory model runs and regional forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for May 20 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that supports clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows between 23–25°C amid light southerly flows and residual moisture, with trader consensus clustering on the 24–27°C band because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can alter the exact cooling rate by 1–2°C. Persistent high pressure favors the current leading outcome at 24°C, while any increase in convective activity or moisture advection could push readings toward 26–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,746Дата окончания
20 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory model runs and regional forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for May 20 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that supports clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows between 23–25°C amid light southerly flows and residual moisture, with trader consensus clustering on the 24–27°C band because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can alter the exact cooling rate by 1–2°C. Persistent high pressure favors the current leading outcome at 24°C, while any increase in convective activity or moisture advection could push readings toward 26–27°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,746Дата окончания
20 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory model runs and regional forecasts indicate a minimum near 24°C for May 20 under a stable subtropical high-pressure regime that supports clear skies and moderate overnight radiative cooling. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows between 23–25°C amid light southerly flows and residual moisture, with trader consensus clustering on the 24–27°C band because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or humidity can alter the exact cooling rate by 1–2°C. Persistent high pressure favors the current leading outcome at 24°C, while any increase in convective activity or moisture advection could push readings toward 26–27°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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