Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for May 18 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist southeasterly flow from the northern South China Sea. Elevated relative humidity of 75–95% restricts nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping heat near the surface, while moderate winds at force 4–5 further moderate temperature drops. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where urban heat-island effects and pre-monsoon conditions typically anchor overnight lows between 24°C and 25°C. Traders see near-even odds between these two outcomes because subtle shifts in cloud thickness or brief clearing could tip the balance either way, with the next official bulletin expected to refine model guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 18 мая?
24°C 36%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
32%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C или выше
<1%
24°C 36%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
32%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a minimum temperature of 24–25°C for May 18 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moist southeasterly flow from the northern South China Sea. Elevated relative humidity of 75–95% restricts nocturnal radiative cooling by trapping heat near the surface, while moderate winds at force 4–5 further moderate temperature drops. This setup aligns with mid-May climatology, where urban heat-island effects and pre-monsoon conditions typically anchor overnight lows between 24°C and 25°C. Traders see near-even odds between these two outcomes because subtle shifts in cloud thickness or brief clearing could tip the balance either way, with the next official bulletin expected to refine model guidance ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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