Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering in latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts, which project Paris's highest temperature on May 16 at 15-16°C amid an unusual mid-May cool spell driven by persistent northerly airflow advecting chilly maritime air and widespread overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. The slight edge for 15°C over 16°C stems from model consensus on prolonged cloud cover limiting insolation, though minor discrepancies in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential brief clearings could tip outcomes higher to 17°C or cap at 14°C. This departs from typical mid-May highs near 19°C, with final short-range updates expected overnight as the event nears resolution via official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 16 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 16 мая?
15°C 43%
16°C 34%
14°C 16%
17°C 4.6%
$19,911 Объем
$19,911 Объем
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C
43%
16°C
34%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 43%
16°C 34%
14°C 16%
17°C 4.6%
$19,911 Объем
$19,911 Объем
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
16%
15°C
43%
16°C
34%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering in latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble forecasts, which project Paris's highest temperature on May 16 at 15-16°C amid an unusual mid-May cool spell driven by persistent northerly airflow advecting chilly maritime air and widespread overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. The slight edge for 15°C over 16°C stems from model consensus on prolonged cloud cover limiting insolation, though minor discrepancies in afternoon boundary layer mixing and potential brief clearings could tip outcomes higher to 17°C or cap at 14°C. This departs from typical mid-May highs near 19°C, with final short-range updates expected overnight as the event nears resolution via official station measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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