Forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show significant spread for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, driving the near-even market split between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and upper-air patterns. Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance and sites like AccuWeather align on 17-18°C lows amid mostly cloudy skies with possible afternoon showers, following a warm spell with daytime highs near 30°C but recent clear nights dipping to 12-14°C via radiative cooling. Key differentiators include ridge persistence for warmer advection versus frontal approach enabling sharper diurnal drops; new 12-hourly model runs will clarify consensus before resolution. Trader sentiment captures this skin-in-the-game balance of synoptic risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле 19 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле 19 мая?
13°C или ниже 40%
17°C 21%
16°C 20%
18°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 мая 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
40%
14°C
5%
15°C
18%
16°C
20%
17°C
21%
18°C
20%
19°C
19%
20°C
12%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C или выше
<1%
13°C или ниже 40%
17°C 21%
16°C 20%
18°C 20%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 мая 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$0 Объем
40%
14°C
$0 Объем
5%
15°C
$0 Объем
18%
16°C
$0 Объем
20%
17°C
$0 Объем
21%
18°C
$0 Объем
20%
19°C
$0 Объем
19%
20°C
$0 Объем
12%
21°C
$0 Объем
12%
22°C
$61 Объем
4%
23°C или выше
$23 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show significant spread for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, driving the near-even market split between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and upper-air patterns. Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance and sites like AccuWeather align on 17-18°C lows amid mostly cloudy skies with possible afternoon showers, following a warm spell with daytime highs near 30°C but recent clear nights dipping to 12-14°C via radiative cooling. Key differentiators include ridge persistence for warmer advection versus frontal approach enabling sharper diurnal drops; new 12-hourly model runs will clarify consensus before resolution. Trader sentiment captures this skin-in-the-game balance of synoptic risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$84Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show significant spread for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, driving the near-even market split between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and upper-air patterns. Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance and sites like AccuWeather align on 17-18°C lows amid mostly cloudy skies with possible afternoon showers, following a warm spell with daytime highs near 30°C but recent clear nights dipping to 12-14°C via radiative cooling. Key differentiators include ridge persistence for warmer advection versus frontal approach enabling sharper diurnal drops; new 12-hourly model runs will clarify consensus before resolution. Trader sentiment captures this skin-in-the-game balance of synoptic risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$84Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIForecast model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show significant spread for Seoul's lowest temperature on May 19, driving the near-even market split between 13°C or below and 23°C or higher, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and upper-air patterns. Korea Meteorological Administration medium-range guidance and sites like AccuWeather align on 17-18°C lows amid mostly cloudy skies with possible afternoon showers, following a warm spell with daytime highs near 30°C but recent clear nights dipping to 12-14°C via radiative cooling. Key differentiators include ridge persistence for warmer advection versus frontal approach enabling sharper diurnal drops; new 12-hourly model runs will clarify consensus before resolution. Trader sentiment captures this skin-in-the-game balance of synoptic risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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