Trader consensus assigns an 89.3% implied probability to a Houston high of 86°F or higher on May 17, driven by National Weather Service forecast models showing persistent southerly flow and a building upper-level ridge that favors clear skies and strong daytime heating. Mid-May climatology places normal highs near 85°F, and current ensemble guidance indicates temperatures will exceed this baseline by 2–4°F with minimal spread. Key resolution criteria center on official observations from the Houston Intercontinental Airport station, where any downward revision in model runs or increased cloud cover from Gulf moisture could modestly shift outcomes before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 17 мая?
86°F or higher 89.5%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 1.3%
80-81°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
89%
86°F or higher 89.5%
84-85°F 9%
82-83°F 1.3%
80-81°F <1%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
9%
86°F or higher
89%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUTrader consensus assigns an 89.3% implied probability to a Houston high of 86°F or higher on May 17, driven by National Weather Service forecast models showing persistent southerly flow and a building upper-level ridge that favors clear skies and strong daytime heating. Mid-May climatology places normal highs near 85°F, and current ensemble guidance indicates temperatures will exceed this baseline by 2–4°F with minimal spread. Key resolution criteria center on official observations from the Houston Intercontinental Airport station, where any downward revision in model runs or increased cloud cover from Gulf moisture could modestly shift outcomes before final verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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