Recent forecast models from the South African Weather Service indicate a typical mid-May pattern for Cape Town, with daytime highs likely peaking near 19–21°C under variable Atlantic high pressure and light southerly winds. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting normal seasonal cooling after summer and the absence of strong warm-air advection or blocking ridges. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and any weak frontal passage that could trim the afternoon maximum by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 18–20°C at Cape Town International, providing a baseline against which today’s guidance shows little deviation. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak and determine whether the market resolves toward 20°C or 21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 17 мая?
20°C 43%
21°C 33%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
43%
21°C
33%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C или выше
1%
20°C 43%
21°C 33%
19°C 19%
22°C 9%
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
4%
19°C
19%
20°C
43%
21°C
33%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTRecent forecast models from the South African Weather Service indicate a typical mid-May pattern for Cape Town, with daytime highs likely peaking near 19–21°C under variable Atlantic high pressure and light southerly winds. This range aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting normal seasonal cooling after summer and the absence of strong warm-air advection or blocking ridges. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and any weak frontal passage that could trim the afternoon maximum by 1–2°C. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 18–20°C at Cape Town International, providing a baseline against which today’s guidance shows little deviation. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak and determine whether the market resolves toward 20°C or 21°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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