Latest guidance from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows consensus for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 21°C, driving trader sentiment with 44.5% implied probability, as mild autumn conditions prevail following early-May heavy rains and flooding that cooled the region. Seasonal climatology supports this, with May average highs of 20–22°C amid decreasing daily maximums, increasing cloud cover, and occasional southwesterly winds moderating warmth. Uncertainties remain from potential low-level cloud or frontal influences, but current soundings and sea surface temperatures favor limited intensification. Watch SAWS updates overnight for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
20°C 11%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
11%
21°C
43%
22°C
33%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
20°C 11%
19°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
$361 Объем
<1%
17°C
$305 Объем
1%
18°C
$544 Объем
1%
19°C
$611 Объем
5%
20°C
$392 Объем
11%
21°C
$967 Объем
43%
22°C
$773 Объем
33%
23°C
$496 Объем
4%
24°C
$258 Объем
<1%
25°C
$236 Объем
1%
26°C or higher
$458 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows consensus for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 21°C, driving trader sentiment with 44.5% implied probability, as mild autumn conditions prevail following early-May heavy rains and flooding that cooled the region. Seasonal climatology supports this, with May average highs of 20–22°C amid decreasing daily maximums, increasing cloud cover, and occasional southwesterly winds moderating warmth. Uncertainties remain from potential low-level cloud or frontal influences, but current soundings and sea surface temperatures favor limited intensification. Watch SAWS updates overnight for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Объем
$5,287Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows consensus for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 21°C, driving trader sentiment with 44.5% implied probability, as mild autumn conditions prevail following early-May heavy rains and flooding that cooled the region. Seasonal climatology supports this, with May average highs of 20–22°C amid decreasing daily maximums, increasing cloud cover, and occasional southwesterly winds moderating warmth. Uncertainties remain from potential low-level cloud or frontal influences, but current soundings and sea surface temperatures favor limited intensification. Watch SAWS updates overnight for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,287Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows consensus for Cape Town's highest temperature on May 16 clustering around 21°C, driving trader sentiment with 44.5% implied probability, as mild autumn conditions prevail following early-May heavy rains and flooding that cooled the region. Seasonal climatology supports this, with May average highs of 20–22°C amid decreasing daily maximums, increasing cloud cover, and occasional southwesterly winds moderating warmth. Uncertainties remain from potential low-level cloud or frontal influences, but current soundings and sea surface temperatures favor limited intensification. Watch SAWS updates overnight for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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