National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 72-73°F at O'Hare International Airport today under breezy south-southwesterly winds gusting to 25 knots, advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary lingering northwest of the city, with mostly sunny skies after early morning shower chances clear. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 74°F or higher at 76% implied probability, reflecting high-resolution model runs like the HRRR and NAM nests that show upside potential to 75-78°F if the boundary holds north, delaying lake breeze influence and maximizing afternoon heating above the May 15 climatological normal of 70°F. Key uncertainty lies in boundary evolution and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan; new HRRR updates hourly through afternoon will refine peak temperature trajectories for this time-sensitive market resolving on official ASOS observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 15?
74°F or higher 77%
72-73°F 19%
70-71°F 4.7%
68-69°F <1%
$95,342 Объем
$95,342 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
77%
74°F or higher 77%
72-73°F 19%
70-71°F 4.7%
68-69°F <1%
$95,342 Объем
$95,342 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
60-61°F
$4,958 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$5,849 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$4,930 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$11,496 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$11,965 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$11,149 Объем
5%
72-73°F
$6,300 Объем
19%
74°F or higher
$9,328 Объем
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 72-73°F at O'Hare International Airport today under breezy south-southwesterly winds gusting to 25 knots, advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary lingering northwest of the city, with mostly sunny skies after early morning shower chances clear. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 74°F or higher at 76% implied probability, reflecting high-resolution model runs like the HRRR and NAM nests that show upside potential to 75-78°F if the boundary holds north, delaying lake breeze influence and maximizing afternoon heating above the May 15 climatological normal of 70°F. Key uncertainty lies in boundary evolution and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan; new HRRR updates hourly through afternoon will refine peak temperature trajectories for this time-sensitive market resolving on official ASOS observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$95,342Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 72-73°F at O'Hare International Airport today under breezy south-southwesterly winds gusting to 25 knots, advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary lingering northwest of the city, with mostly sunny skies after early morning shower chances clear. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 74°F or higher at 76% implied probability, reflecting high-resolution model runs like the HRRR and NAM nests that show upside potential to 75-78°F if the boundary holds north, delaying lake breeze influence and maximizing afternoon heating above the May 15 climatological normal of 70°F. Key uncertainty lies in boundary evolution and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan; new HRRR updates hourly through afternoon will refine peak temperature trajectories for this time-sensitive market resolving on official ASOS observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$95,342Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Chicago office project a high near 72-73°F at O'Hare International Airport today under breezy south-southwesterly winds gusting to 25 knots, advecting warmer air ahead of a weak frontal boundary lingering northwest of the city, with mostly sunny skies after early morning shower chances clear. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 74°F or higher at 76% implied probability, reflecting high-resolution model runs like the HRRR and NAM nests that show upside potential to 75-78°F if the boundary holds north, delaying lake breeze influence and maximizing afternoon heating above the May 15 climatological normal of 70°F. Key uncertainty lies in boundary evolution and lake-effect moderation near Lake Michigan; new HRRR updates hourly through afternoon will refine peak temperature trajectories for this time-sensitive market resolving on official ASOS observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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