Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at 99.9% implied probability, driven by official observational data from local weather stations showing the peak reached midday amid persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and cool northerly airflow. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model runs and national Italian services like 3B Meteo corroborated this outlook, projecting highs capped below 14°C due to high pressure over northern Europe blocking warm advection. Mid-May climatology typically sees 22°C averages, but today's cooler-than-normal conditions reflect a passing trough. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 14°C before sunset, though low sun angles and residual moisture make this improbable as the day ends. Final station readings expected by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 15?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$81,050 Объем
$81,050 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$81,050 Объем
$81,050 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
13°C
$11,269 Объем
100%
14°C
$8,736 Объем
<1%
15°C
$6,505 Объем
<1%
16°C
$5,951 Объем
<1%
17°C
$9,250 Объем
<1%
18°C
$8,607 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$6,872 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at 99.9% implied probability, driven by official observational data from local weather stations showing the peak reached midday amid persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and cool northerly airflow. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model runs and national Italian services like 3B Meteo corroborated this outlook, projecting highs capped below 14°C due to high pressure over northern Europe blocking warm advection. Mid-May climatology typically sees 22°C averages, but today's cooler-than-normal conditions reflect a passing trough. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 14°C before sunset, though low sun angles and residual moisture make this improbable as the day ends. Final station readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$81,050Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at 99.9% implied probability, driven by official observational data from local weather stations showing the peak reached midday amid persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and cool northerly airflow. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model runs and national Italian services like 3B Meteo corroborated this outlook, projecting highs capped below 14°C due to high pressure over northern Europe blocking warm advection. Mid-May climatology typically sees 22°C averages, but today's cooler-than-normal conditions reflect a passing trough. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 14°C before sunset, though low sun angles and residual moisture make this improbable as the day ends. Final station readings expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$81,050Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as Milan's highest temperature on May 15 at 99.9% implied probability, driven by official observational data from local weather stations showing the peak reached midday amid persistent cloud cover, light rain showers, and cool northerly airflow. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model runs and national Italian services like 3B Meteo corroborated this outlook, projecting highs capped below 14°C due to high pressure over northern Europe blocking warm advection. Mid-May climatology typically sees 22°C averages, but today's cooler-than-normal conditions reflect a passing trough. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing allowing brief solar heating to 14°C before sunset, though low sun angles and residual moisture make this improbable as the day ends. Final station readings expected by midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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