Current forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature near 21–22°C in Milan on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. These closely matched market-implied probabilities arise because small variations in daytime heating—driven by exact boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects, and the timing of peak insolation—can shift the recorded high by one degree. Historical May data show Milan’s average daily maximum around 22°C, with interannual variability of ±3°C tied to Atlantic blocking patterns. Updated numerical weather prediction runs overnight will refine the final outcome before the 12:00 UTC cutoff, as even modest changes in low-level winds or residual moisture can determine whether the peak registers at 21°C or 22°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 17 мая?
21°C 37%
22°C 36%
20°C 17%
23°C 10%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
17%
21°C
37%
22°C
36%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
22°C 36%
20°C 17%
23°C 10%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
17%
21°C
37%
22°C
36%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCCurrent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature near 21–22°C in Milan on May 17, reflecting typical late-spring conditions under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. These closely matched market-implied probabilities arise because small variations in daytime heating—driven by exact boundary-layer moisture, urban heat-island effects, and the timing of peak insolation—can shift the recorded high by one degree. Historical May data show Milan’s average daily maximum around 22°C, with interannual variability of ±3°C tied to Atlantic blocking patterns. Updated numerical weather prediction runs overnight will refine the final outcome before the 12:00 UTC cutoff, as even modest changes in low-level winds or residual moisture can determine whether the peak registers at 21°C or 22°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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