Latest European model runs, including ECMWF guidance, place Milan’s May 18 maximum near 21°C under a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow. This value sits slightly below the long-term climatological average of 22°C for mid-May, reflecting modest onshore moisture and scattered afternoon cloud cover that limits full solar heating. With 21°C priced at 32% and 20°C at 25.5%, traders are weighting the narrow spread between these outcomes, consistent with typical one-degree forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Official verification will come from ARPA Lombardia observations at Linate Airport, with resolution hinging on the single highest hourly reading before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 18 мая?
21°C 34%
20°C 26%
19°C 20%
22°C 9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
20%
20°C
26%
21°C
34%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 26%
19°C 20%
22°C 9%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
6%
19°C
20%
20°C
26%
21°C
34%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCLatest European model runs, including ECMWF guidance, place Milan’s May 18 maximum near 21°C under a weakening high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow. This value sits slightly below the long-term climatological average of 22°C for mid-May, reflecting modest onshore moisture and scattered afternoon cloud cover that limits full solar heating. With 21°C priced at 32% and 20°C at 25.5%, traders are weighting the narrow spread between these outcomes, consistent with typical one-degree forecast uncertainty at this lead time. Official verification will come from ARPA Lombardia observations at Linate Airport, with resolution hinging on the single highest hourly reading before midnight local time.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы