Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts for Munich Airport station, the market's resolution source, point to a daytime high near 13°C on May 15 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a low-pressure system over central Europe, aligning with trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting cool northerly flow and high cloud opacity limiting solar heating, while recent May 14 morning observations of 8°C reinforce the subdued temperature outlook. Probabilities taper for 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.5%) due to model spread on afternoon rain intensity and timing; historical May averages near 18°C underscore this anomalous chill. Watch DWD hourly updates and 12Z model runs for potential shifts before evening observations lock in the peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
13°C 40%
14°C 24%
15°C 17%
12°C 16%
НОВОЕ
$21,319 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,319 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
16%
13°C
40%
14°C
24%
15°C
17%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 40%
14°C 24%
15°C 17%
12°C 16%
НОВОЕ
$21,319 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,319 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
7°C or below
$807 Объем
<1%
8°C
$1,225 Объем
<1%
9°C
$1,682 Объем
<1%
10°C
$571 Объем
1%
11°C
$1,416 Объем
2%
12°C
$2,267 Объем
16%
13°C
$1,804 Объем
40%
14°C
$3,120 Объем
24%
15°C
$2,665 Объем
17%
16°C
$2,946 Объем
1%
17°C or higher
$3,326 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts for Munich Airport station, the market's resolution source, point to a daytime high near 13°C on May 15 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a low-pressure system over central Europe, aligning with trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting cool northerly flow and high cloud opacity limiting solar heating, while recent May 14 morning observations of 8°C reinforce the subdued temperature outlook. Probabilities taper for 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.5%) due to model spread on afternoon rain intensity and timing; historical May averages near 18°C underscore this anomalous chill. Watch DWD hourly updates and 12Z model runs for potential shifts before evening observations lock in the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$21,319Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts for Munich Airport station, the market's resolution source, point to a daytime high near 13°C on May 15 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a low-pressure system over central Europe, aligning with trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting cool northerly flow and high cloud opacity limiting solar heating, while recent May 14 morning observations of 8°C reinforce the subdued temperature outlook. Probabilities taper for 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.5%) due to model spread on afternoon rain intensity and timing; historical May averages near 18°C underscore this anomalous chill. Watch DWD hourly updates and 12Z model runs for potential shifts before evening observations lock in the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,319Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts for Munich Airport station, the market's resolution source, point to a daytime high near 13°C on May 15 under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a low-pressure system over central Europe, aligning with trader consensus at 39.5% implied probability for 13°C. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster tightly around 12–14°C, reflecting cool northerly flow and high cloud opacity limiting solar heating, while recent May 14 morning observations of 8°C reinforce the subdued temperature outlook. Probabilities taper for 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.5%) due to model spread on afternoon rain intensity and timing; historical May averages near 18°C underscore this anomalous chill. Watch DWD hourly updates and 12Z model runs for potential shifts before evening observations lock in the peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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