Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 16?
13°C 50%
14°C 23%
12°C 22%
15°C 7.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
22%
13°C
50%
14°C
23%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
14°C 23%
12°C 22%
15°C 7.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
8°C or below
$507 Объем
<1%
9°C
$150 Объем
1%
10°C
$70 Объем
1%
11°C
$68 Объем
3%
12°C
$195 Объем
22%
13°C
$249 Объем
50%
14°C
$85 Объем
23%
15°C
$64 Объем
8%
16°C
$105 Объем
1%
17°C
$25 Объем
1%
18°C or higher
$93 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Объем
$1,481Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,481Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:47 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model clustering around 12–14°C for Amsterdam's highest temperature on May 16, driven by persistent cool maritime airflow from the North Sea following a cold front that cooled highs to 13°C on May 13 and lower since. KNMI-aligned guidance from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projects partly cloudy skies with possible light showers and westerly winds (10–15 km/h), capping diurnal heating and differentiating these from warmer outcomes requiring ridging or clearing—unlikely per current synoptics. Lower odds for extremes stem from stable low-pressure patterns; watch fresh model runs and KNMI updates on May 15 for refinements amid typical short-range uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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