Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 14?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$121,725 Объем
$121,725 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$121,725 Объем
$121,725 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
15°C or below
$2,272 Объем
No
16°C
$1,363 Объем
No
17°C
$3,548 Объем
No
18°C
$9,167 Объем
No
19°C
$10,724 Объем
No
20°C
$25,407 Объем
No
21°C
$19,155 Объем
No
22°C
$15,350 Объем
Yes
23°C
$12,707 Объем
No
24°C
$10,533 Объем
No
25°C or higher
$11,498 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$121,725Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$121,725Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 22°C as Ankara's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting near-unanimous alignment with short-range forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and observations at Esenboğa International Airport station, the market's resolution source. Current surface data shows morning temperatures around 12-14°C rising under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and moderate humidity, consistent with mid-May climatology where average highs hover at 21-22°C amid continental spring patterns. Ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS converge on a 22°C peak in early afternoon, with low solar insolation limiting further warming. Realistic shifts upward would demand prolonged clear skies or a sudden wind shift, unlikely per latest guidance; final hourly readings expected by evening will confirm.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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