Current forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus places Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 near 19–20 °C. Persistent high pressure over Anatolia combined with light southerly flow and modest cloud cover is limiting daytime insolation, keeping the daily maximum slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 22 °C. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal passages expected before the resolution window closes. Traders have accordingly assigned the highest implied probability to 19 °C, reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this range and the low likelihood of either rapid warming or cooler advection before sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 17 мая?
19°C 43%
20°C 32%
18°C 16%
21°C 15%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
43%
20°C
32%
21°C
15%
22°C
3%
23°C или выше
1%
19°C 43%
20°C 32%
18°C 16%
21°C 15%
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
16%
19°C
43%
20°C
32%
21°C
15%
22°C
3%
23°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACCurrent forecast guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts consensus places Ankara’s peak temperature on May 17 near 19–20 °C. Persistent high pressure over Anatolia combined with light southerly flow and modest cloud cover is limiting daytime insolation, keeping the daily maximum slightly below the mid-May climatological average of 22 °C. Recent model runs show little day-to-day variability, with no significant frontal passages expected before the resolution window closes. Traders have accordingly assigned the highest implied probability to 19 °C, reflecting the tight clustering of ensemble outputs around this range and the low likelihood of either rapid warming or cooler advection before sunset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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