The market consensus strongly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Wellington today, driven by MetService forecasts showing a daytime maximum near that level amid stable high-pressure conditions and mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover between 12–15°C during Southern Hemisphere autumn, supported by recent observational data from NIWA stations showing no significant warming trend over the past 48 hours. Global model runs, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, maintain tight agreement on minimal afternoon variability, keeping any surge above 14°C unlikely before midnight. A rapid cloud break or unexpected northerly shift could theoretically challenge the threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$48,287 Объем
$48,287 Объем
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.8%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$48,287 Объем
$48,287 Объем
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus strongly favors a highest temperature of 13°C in Wellington today, driven by MetService forecasts showing a daytime maximum near that level amid stable high-pressure conditions and mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This aligns with typical May climatology for the region, where average highs hover between 12–15°C during Southern Hemisphere autumn, supported by recent observational data from NIWA stations showing no significant warming trend over the past 48 hours. Global model runs, including those from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, maintain tight agreement on minimal afternoon variability, keeping any surge above 14°C unlikely before midnight. A rapid cloud break or unexpected northerly shift could theoretically challenge the threshold, though current atmospheric stability makes such outcomes improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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