Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 16 near 37°C, reflected in trader consensus with 37°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid tight odds for 36°C (21.5%) and 38°C (20%). This positioning stems from a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover over the Red Sea coast, where sea breezes moderate but do not prevent late-afternoon peaks. Historical May data at King Abdulaziz International Airport averages 37°C, with model spreads of 1-2°C capturing inherent short-range uncertainty from wind shear or haze variability. Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates expected overnight could refine trajectories before official observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 16?
37°C 30%
38°C 23%
36°C 22%
39°C or higher 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
22%
37°C
30%
38°C
23%
39°C or higher
12%
37°C 30%
38°C 23%
36°C 22%
39°C or higher 12%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
9%
36°C
22%
37°C
30%
38°C
23%
39°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Jeddah's highest temperature on May 16 near 37°C, reflected in trader consensus with 37°C leading at 27.5% implied probability amid tight odds for 36°C (21.5%) and 38°C (20%). This positioning stems from a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, intense solar heating, and minimal cloud cover over the Red Sea coast, where sea breezes moderate but do not prevent late-afternoon peaks. Historical May data at King Abdulaziz International Airport averages 37°C, with model spreads of 1-2°C capturing inherent short-range uncertainty from wind shear or haze variability. Saudi National Center for Meteorology updates expected overnight could refine trajectories before official observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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