Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 26°C high in Busan at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (21%) and 27°C (20.5%), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather model runs projecting 25°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light ENE winds at 19 km/h minimizing sea breeze cooling from the Korea Strait. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show May 14's high hitting the forecasted 23°C amid dry northerly flow, with low soil moisture enhancing daytime heating potential. High uncertainty stems from variability in peak afternoon insolation, possible thin cloud incursions, and coastal microclimates, where even minor wind shifts could push outcomes toward 24-28°C; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Busan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on May 15?
26°C 30%
25°C 24%
27°C 16%
24°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$20,138 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,138 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
24%
26°C
30%
27°C
16%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
2%
26°C 30%
25°C 24%
27°C 16%
24°C 12%
НОВОЕ
$20,138 Объем
НОВОЕ
$20,138 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
19°C or below
$3,412 Объем
<1%
20°C
$2,199 Объем
<1%
21°C
$3,358 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,833 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,814 Объем
4%
24°C
$1,076 Объем
12%
25°C
$808 Объем
24%
26°C
$1,082 Объем
30%
27°C
$1,520 Объем
16%
28°C
$2,242 Объем
2%
29°C or higher
$988 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 26°C high in Busan at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (21%) and 27°C (20.5%), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather model runs projecting 25°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light ENE winds at 19 km/h minimizing sea breeze cooling from the Korea Strait. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show May 14's high hitting the forecasted 23°C amid dry northerly flow, with low soil moisture enhancing daytime heating potential. High uncertainty stems from variability in peak afternoon insolation, possible thin cloud incursions, and coastal microclimates, where even minor wind shifts could push outcomes toward 24-28°C; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Объем
$20,138Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 26°C high in Busan at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (21%) and 27°C (20.5%), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather model runs projecting 25°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light ENE winds at 19 km/h minimizing sea breeze cooling from the Korea Strait. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show May 14's high hitting the forecasted 23°C amid dry northerly flow, with low soil moisture enhancing daytime heating potential. High uncertainty stems from variability in peak afternoon insolation, possible thin cloud incursions, and coastal microclimates, where even minor wind shifts could push outcomes toward 24-28°C; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,138Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:43 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 26°C high in Busan at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 25°C (21%) and 27°C (20.5%), driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and AccuWeather model runs projecting 25°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light ENE winds at 19 km/h minimizing sea breeze cooling from the Korea Strait. Recent observations over the past 48 hours show May 14's high hitting the forecasted 23°C amid dry northerly flow, with low soil moisture enhancing daytime heating potential. High uncertainty stems from variability in peak afternoon insolation, possible thin cloud incursions, and coastal microclimates, where even minor wind shifts could push outcomes toward 24-28°C; watch KMA's evening update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official Busan station data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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