Official METAR observations from NOAA at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 23°C early on May 14 amid easterly winds and rising instability, aligning precisely with Rosgidromet's forecast of daytime highs between 21-23°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. Ensemble models like ECMWF reinforced this cap below 24°C due to precipitation risks and overcast conditions limiting solar heating, following yesterday's 22°C high in a mild spring pattern. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this strong observational backing, though a rare late-afternoon clearing could push readings higher before midnight local time—unlikely per current guidance. Final NOAA daily maximum expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 14?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$58,714 Объем
$58,714 Объем
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$58,714 Объем
$58,714 Объем
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official METAR observations from NOAA at Vnukovo International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded a peak temperature of 23°C early on May 14 amid easterly winds and rising instability, aligning precisely with Rosgidromet's forecast of daytime highs between 21-23°C under cloudy skies and scattered showers. Ensemble models like ECMWF reinforced this cap below 24°C due to precipitation risks and overcast conditions limiting solar heating, following yesterday's 22°C high in a mild spring pattern. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this strong observational backing, though a rare late-afternoon clearing could push readings higher before midnight local time—unlikely per current guidance. Final NOAA daily maximum expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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