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icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?

88°F or higher 79%

86-87°F 16%

84-85°F 8.0%

82-83°F 4.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

88°F or higher 79%

86-87°F 16%

84-85°F 8.0%

82-83°F 4.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

69°F or below

$506 Объем

<1%

70-71°F

$3,196 Объем

<1%

72-73°F

$4,549 Объем

<1%

74-75°F

$445 Объем

<1%

76-77°F

$450 Объем

<1%

78-79°F

$385 Объем

<1%

80-81°F

$90 Объем

4%

82-83°F

$62 Объем

4%

84-85°F

$35 Объем

8%

86-87°F

$38 Объем

16%

88°F or higher

$80 Объем

79%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,836
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,836
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «88°F or higher» с 79%, за ним следует «86-87°F» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 79¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 15, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?» — «88°F or higher» с 79%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Следующий ближайший исход — «86-87°F» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.