Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 17 мая?
88°F or higher 79%
86-87°F 16%
84-85°F 8.0%
82-83°F 4.1%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
16%
88°F or higher
79%
88°F or higher 79%
86-87°F 16%
84-85°F 8.0%
82-83°F 4.1%
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
16%
88°F or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSLatest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a daytime high near 91°F on May 17, aligning with GFS and ECMWF model ensembles that depict a persistent high-pressure ridge over the southern Plains fostering subsidence, clear skies, and efficient radiational heating. Recent observations show temperatures trending above the May climatological average of 86°F, with May 14 highs reaching 87°F amid dry conditions following early-month rains that have left soil moisture below normal, reducing evaporative cooling. Over the past 24 hours, updated 00z model runs have strengthened this warmer signal, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for 88°F or higher while pricing cooler outcomes low due to minimal shower threats. NWS Austin/San Antonio's next discussion and 12z ensembles on May 16 could refine this outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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