The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 92°F today under mostly cloudy skies with south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model agreement on persistent southerly flow transporting warm, humid air amid an upper-level ridge. This setup exceeds the typical May average high of 86°F, bolstered by near-record warmth observed yesterday and minimal disruption from increasing clouds. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected cloud cover or an earlier cold front surge capping peaks in the mid-80s, though guidance shows low odds; monitor hourly updates from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport through late afternoon for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 93.8%
84-85°F 4.3%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,124 Объем
$36,124 Объем
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
94%
86°F or higher 93.8%
84-85°F 4.3%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$36,124 Объем
$36,124 Объем
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
4%
86°F or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 92°F today under mostly cloudy skies with south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model agreement on persistent southerly flow transporting warm, humid air amid an upper-level ridge. This setup exceeds the typical May average high of 86°F, bolstered by near-record warmth observed yesterday and minimal disruption from increasing clouds. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected cloud cover or an earlier cold front surge capping peaks in the mid-80s, though guidance shows low odds; monitor hourly updates from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport through late afternoon for confirmation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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