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Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?

icon for Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?

Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?

86°F or higher 93.8%

84-85°F 4.3%

80-81°F <1%

82-83°F <1%

Polymarket

$36,124 Объем

86°F or higher 93.8%

84-85°F 4.3%

80-81°F <1%

82-83°F <1%

Polymarket

$36,124 Объем

72-73°F

$2,043 Объем

<1%

74-75°F

$2,449 Объем

<1%

76-77°F

$1,718 Объем

<1%

78-79°F

$1,231 Объем

<1%

80-81°F

$2,559 Объем

1%

82-83°F

$1,139 Объем

<1%

84-85°F

$1,779 Объем

4%

86°F or higher

$2,598 Объем

94%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 92°F today under mostly cloudy skies with south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model agreement on persistent southerly flow transporting warm, humid air amid an upper-level ridge. This setup exceeds the typical May average high of 86°F, bolstered by near-record warmth observed yesterday and minimal disruption from increasing clouds. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected cloud cover or an earlier cold front surge capping peaks in the mid-80s, though guidance shows low odds; monitor hourly updates from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport through late afternoon for confirmation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$36,124
Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Austin projects a high temperature near 92°F today under mostly cloudy skies with south winds at 5-10 mph, driving the market's 95% implied probability for 86°F or higher as trader consensus aligns with model agreement on persistent southerly flow transporting warm, humid air amid an upper-level ridge. This setup exceeds the typical May average high of 86°F, bolstered by near-record warmth observed yesterday and minimal disruption from increasing clouds. Realistic challenges include heavier-than-expected cloud cover or an earlier cold front surge capping peaks in the mid-80s, though guidance shows low odds; monitor hourly updates from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport through late afternoon for confirmation.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$36,124
Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «86°F or higher» с 94%, за ним следует «84-85°F» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 94¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $36.1K с момента запуска рынка May 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?» — «86°F or higher» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Следующий ближайший исход — «84-85°F» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.