Current meteorological conditions and ensemble forecast models position a daytime peak near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow today, reflecting a transient warm air advection pattern under high pressure that has elevated temperatures above seasonal averages. Recent observational data from regional stations show afternoon readings climbing steadily into the low-to-mid 20s, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling. This aligns with historical mid-May variability where occasional southerly flows can add 4–6°C above the 18°C climatological normal, though model spreads still allow for modest downward revisions if overnight radiative cooling strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the proximity to resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 17 мая?
25°C 39%
24°C 26%
26°C 24.1%
27°C 9.7%
НОВОЕ
$12,357 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,357 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
26%
25°C
39%
26°C
24%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
3%
25°C 39%
24°C 26%
26°C 24.1%
27°C 9.7%
НОВОЕ
$12,357 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,357 Объем
17 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
$1,428 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,365 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,079 Объем
<1%
21°C
$1,992 Объем
1%
22°C
$1,455 Объем
2%
23°C
$849 Объем
5%
24°C
$669 Объем
26%
25°C
$776 Объем
39%
26°C
$957 Объем
24%
27°C
$683 Объем
10%
28°C or higher
$1,104 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological conditions and ensemble forecast models position a daytime peak near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow today, reflecting a transient warm air advection pattern under high pressure that has elevated temperatures above seasonal averages. Recent observational data from regional stations show afternoon readings climbing steadily into the low-to-mid 20s, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling. This aligns with historical mid-May variability where occasional southerly flows can add 4–6°C above the 18°C climatological normal, though model spreads still allow for modest downward revisions if overnight radiative cooling strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$12,357Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological conditions and ensemble forecast models position a daytime peak near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow today, reflecting a transient warm air advection pattern under high pressure that has elevated temperatures above seasonal averages. Recent observational data from regional stations show afternoon readings climbing steadily into the low-to-mid 20s, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling. This aligns with historical mid-May variability where occasional southerly flows can add 4–6°C above the 18°C climatological normal, though model spreads still allow for modest downward revisions if overnight radiative cooling strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the proximity to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,357Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent meteorological conditions and ensemble forecast models position a daytime peak near 25°C as the most probable outcome for Moscow today, reflecting a transient warm air advection pattern under high pressure that has elevated temperatures above seasonal averages. Recent observational data from regional stations show afternoon readings climbing steadily into the low-to-mid 20s, with minimal cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling. This aligns with historical mid-May variability where occasional southerly flows can add 4–6°C above the 18°C climatological normal, though model spreads still allow for modest downward revisions if overnight radiative cooling strengthens. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily given the proximity to resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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