Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate southerly advection of warmer air over central Russia, supporting a daily maximum near 27–29°C in Moscow on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18–20°C, reflecting the ongoing warm anomaly observed in recent station data. Minor differences among model runs arise from uncertainties in the exact timing and coverage of high-level moisture, which could modulate daytime heating by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and refined global model outputs expected within the next 24 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 18 мая?
29°C 28%
28°C 21%
27°C 19%
31°C or higher 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 28%
28°C 21%
27°C 19%
31°C or higher 14%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
23%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers indicate southerly advection of warmer air over central Russia, supporting a daily maximum near 27–29°C in Moscow on May 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup exceeds the mid-May climatological average of roughly 18–20°C, reflecting the ongoing warm anomaly observed in recent station data. Minor differences among model runs arise from uncertainties in the exact timing and coverage of high-level moisture, which could modulate daytime heating by 1–2°C. Updated guidance from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and refined global model outputs expected within the next 24 hours will further narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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