Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles projecting Seattle's May 16 high temperature in the tight 54-61°F range, driven by a recent shift from early May's record heat—upper 70s to low 80s—to a cooler marine-influenced pattern. A weak Pacific front ushered in onshore flow and persistent stratocumulus clouds yesterday, capping highs near 62°F on May 14 while boosting shower risks into Saturday. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (54-59°F at ~19.5%): stronger low-level onshore winds and marine layer thickness favor the lower 54-57°F cluster, whereas faster diurnal clearing or ridge amplification could lift to 58-61°F. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs by May 15 morning may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сиэтле 16 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Сиэтле 16 мая?
54-55°F 31%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 22%
58-59°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
<1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
30%
58-59°F
12%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66°F или выше
<1%
54-55°F 31%
56-57°F 30%
52-53°F 22%
58-59°F 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
16 мая 2026 г.
47°F или ниже
$1,645 Объем
<1%
48-49°F
$35 Объем
3%
50-51°F
$253 Объем
7%
52-53°F
$70 Объем
22%
54-55°F
$120 Объем
31%
56-57°F
$338 Объем
30%
58-59°F
$170 Объем
12%
60-61°F
$826 Объем
3%
62-63°F
$75 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$310 Объем
1%
66°F или выше
$309 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles projecting Seattle's May 16 high temperature in the tight 54-61°F range, driven by a recent shift from early May's record heat—upper 70s to low 80s—to a cooler marine-influenced pattern. A weak Pacific front ushered in onshore flow and persistent stratocumulus clouds yesterday, capping highs near 62°F on May 14 while boosting shower risks into Saturday. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (54-59°F at ~19.5%): stronger low-level onshore winds and marine layer thickness favor the lower 54-57°F cluster, whereas faster diurnal clearing or ridge amplification could lift to 58-61°F. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs by May 15 morning may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Объем
$4,152Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles projecting Seattle's May 16 high temperature in the tight 54-61°F range, driven by a recent shift from early May's record heat—upper 70s to low 80s—to a cooler marine-influenced pattern. A weak Pacific front ushered in onshore flow and persistent stratocumulus clouds yesterday, capping highs near 62°F on May 14 while boosting shower risks into Saturday. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (54-59°F at ~19.5%): stronger low-level onshore winds and marine layer thickness favor the lower 54-57°F cluster, whereas faster diurnal clearing or ridge amplification could lift to 58-61°F. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs by May 15 morning may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,152Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts and model ensembles projecting Seattle's May 16 high temperature in the tight 54-61°F range, driven by a recent shift from early May's record heat—upper 70s to low 80s—to a cooler marine-influenced pattern. A weak Pacific front ushered in onshore flow and persistent stratocumulus clouds yesterday, capping highs near 62°F on May 14 while boosting shower risks into Saturday. Differentiating the closely matched leading outcomes (54-59°F at ~19.5%): stronger low-level onshore winds and marine layer thickness favor the lower 54-57°F cluster, whereas faster diurnal clearing or ridge amplification could lift to 58-61°F. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs by May 15 morning may refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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