Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 14, driven by the strong alignment of latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF and GFS. Current observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport show early morning temperatures around 22°C under humid, partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, conditions that cap daytime heating near 28°C amid moderate humidity suppressing further intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C during transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or isolated showers cooling to 27°C; final airport measurements later today will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 14?
28°C 99.2%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
26°C <1%
$61,881 Объем
$61,881 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
26°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.2%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
26°C <1%
$61,881 Объем
$61,881 Объем
14 мая 2026 г.
26°C
$4,499 Объем
<1%
28°C
$6,989 Объем
99%
29°C
$7,348 Объем
<1%
30°C
$7,662 Объем
<1%
31°C
$5,414 Объем
<1%
32°C
$2,492 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$8,990 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 14, driven by the strong alignment of latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF and GFS. Current observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport show early morning temperatures around 22°C under humid, partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, conditions that cap daytime heating near 28°C amid moderate humidity suppressing further intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C during transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or isolated showers cooling to 27°C; final airport measurements later today will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$61,881Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 14, driven by the strong alignment of latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF and GFS. Current observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport show early morning temperatures around 22°C under humid, partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, conditions that cap daytime heating near 28°C amid moderate humidity suppressing further intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C during transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or isolated showers cooling to 27°C; final airport measurements later today will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$61,881Дата окончания
14 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 99.4% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Wuhan on May 14, driven by the strong alignment of latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like ECMWF and GFS. Current observations at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport show early morning temperatures around 22°C under humid, partly cloudy conditions with light southerly winds, conditions that cap daytime heating near 28°C amid moderate humidity suppressing further intensification. Mid-May climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 26-28°C during transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or isolated showers cooling to 27°C; final airport measurements later today will confirm resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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