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Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?

icon for Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?

24°C or higher 99.8%

21°C <1%

20°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$29,568 Объем

24°C or higher 99.8%

21°C <1%

20°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$29,568 Объем

14°C or below

$1,650 Объем

<1%

15°C

$1,730 Объем

<1%

16°C

$1,134 Объем

<1%

17°C

$1,515 Объем

<1%

18°C

$1,397 Объем

<1%

19°C

$1,790 Объем

<1%

20°C

$1,668 Объем

<1%

21°C

$9,095 Объем

<1%

22°C

$1,213 Объем

<1%

23°C

$2,616 Объем

<1%

24°C or higher

$5,782 Объем

100%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and regional climate data project a daytime high in Mexico City well above 24°C on May 16, aligning with the market's 99.7% implied probability for that threshold. The city's high-elevation subtropical climate typically delivers May highs of 25–28°C under clear, dry-season conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting strong solar heating. Current atmospheric patterns show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress temperatures. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted influx of cooler highland air or unexpected rainfall, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before peak heating.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$29,568
Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and regional climate data project a daytime high in Mexico City well above 24°C on May 16, aligning with the market's 99.7% implied probability for that threshold. The city's high-elevation subtropical climate typically delivers May highs of 25–28°C under clear, dry-season conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting strong solar heating. Current atmospheric patterns show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress temperatures. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted influx of cooler highland air or unexpected rainfall, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before peak heating.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$29,568
Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «24°C or higher» с 100%, за ним следует «14°C or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $29.6K с момента запуска рынка May 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?» — «24°C or higher» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «14°C or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.