Recent forecast models from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and regional climate data project a daytime high in Mexico City well above 24°C on May 16, aligning with the market's 99.7% implied probability for that threshold. The city's high-elevation subtropical climate typically delivers May highs of 25–28°C under clear, dry-season conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting strong solar heating. Current atmospheric patterns show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress temperatures. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted influx of cooler highland air or unexpected rainfall, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 16?
24°C or higher 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
$29,568 Объем
$29,568 Объем
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
24°C or higher 99.8%
21°C <1%
20°C <1%
23°C <1%
$29,568 Объем
$29,568 Объем
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) and regional climate data project a daytime high in Mexico City well above 24°C on May 16, aligning with the market's 99.7% implied probability for that threshold. The city's high-elevation subtropical climate typically delivers May highs of 25–28°C under clear, dry-season conditions, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting strong solar heating. Current atmospheric patterns show no incoming cold fronts or significant moisture that could suppress temperatures. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted influx of cooler highland air or unexpected rainfall, though ensemble guidance shows low likelihood of such developments before peak heating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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