Trader consensus assigns a 99.3% implied probability to a high of 26 °C or above in Mexico City on May 17 because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show persistent clear skies and strong daytime heating under the late-spring dry-season regime. With the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and low humidity, solar radiation will drive maximum temperatures well above the seasonal average of 27 °C. Current model runs indicate no significant cloud cover or frontal passage through the 24-hour period, keeping the risk of sub-26 °C readings negligible. A sudden increase in moisture or an unanticipated cold surge could lower readings, yet ensemble guidance places these outcomes below 1% likelihood through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 17 мая?
26°C or higher 99.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,532 Объем
$19,532 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$19,532 Объем
$19,532 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXTrader consensus assigns a 99.3% implied probability to a high of 26 °C or above in Mexico City on May 17 because official forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show persistent clear skies and strong daytime heating under the late-spring dry-season regime. With the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and low humidity, solar radiation will drive maximum temperatures well above the seasonal average of 27 °C. Current model runs indicate no significant cloud cover or frontal passage through the 24-hour period, keeping the risk of sub-26 °C readings negligible. A sudden increase in moisture or an unanticipated cold surge could lower readings, yet ensemble guidance places these outcomes below 1% likelihood through resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы