Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daytime high of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, placing the market-implied 80% probability on 27°C or higher. This aligns with persistent high-pressure ridging that favors strong solar heating and limited afternoon cloud cover despite the early rainy season, at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where May climatology averages 26°C highs. Recent observations confirm similar peaks of 26–29°C through May 15, with models showing low risk of widespread convection that could suppress temperatures below 27°C. Updated runs through May 17 will refine any last-minute adjustments from shifting steering flows or isolated showers, but current data consensus supports the leading outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 18 мая?
27°C or higher 80%
26°C 11%
25°C 7%
24°C 3.6%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
80%
27°C or higher 80%
26°C 11%
25°C 7%
24°C 3.6%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXRecent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daytime high of 27–28°C for Mexico City on May 18, placing the market-implied 80% probability on 27°C or higher. This aligns with persistent high-pressure ridging that favors strong solar heating and limited afternoon cloud cover despite the early rainy season, at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where May climatology averages 26°C highs. Recent observations confirm similar peaks of 26–29°C through May 15, with models showing low risk of widespread convection that could suppress temperatures below 27°C. Updated runs through May 17 will refine any last-minute adjustments from shifting steering flows or isolated showers, but current data consensus supports the leading outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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