Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for a 12°C high in Munich on May 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model runs forecasting persistent cool air advection from an Arctic trough over Central Europe, capping daytime maximums at 11–13°C under overcast skies, northwest winds, and scattered light showers. This follows May 12's confirmed 10°C peak at Munich Airport amid similar conditions, a stark anomaly versus the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud breaks nudging toward 13–14°C, though dense cloud cover predominates; monitor DWD's hourly observations and evening update for refinements ahead of resolution based on the airport's official daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on May 14?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 14?
12°C 39%
13°C 25%
11°C 23%
14°C or higher 16%
$19,538 Объем
$19,538 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
23%
12°C
39%
13°C
25%
14°C or higher
16%
12°C 39%
13°C 25%
11°C 23%
14°C or higher 16%
$19,538 Объем
$19,538 Объем
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
23%
12°C
39%
13°C
25%
14°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 41% implied probability for a 12°C high in Munich on May 14, reflecting the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF model runs forecasting persistent cool air advection from an Arctic trough over Central Europe, capping daytime maximums at 11–13°C under overcast skies, northwest winds, and scattered light showers. This follows May 12's confirmed 10°C peak at Munich Airport amid similar conditions, a stark anomaly versus the mid-May climatological average of 18°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud breaks nudging toward 13–14°C, though dense cloud cover predominates; monitor DWD's hourly observations and evening update for refinements ahead of resolution based on the airport's official daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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