Latest short-range model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, supported by moderate cloud cover and light southeasterly flow off the East China Sea that limits radiative cooling at the Pudong station used for resolution. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows clustered between 17°C and 21°C, with the current 88% implied probability for 19°C aligning closely to the historical mode under a stable high-pressure ridge. Minor downside risk to 18°C could emerge if skies clear after midnight, while upside to 20°C remains unlikely absent stronger warm advection; traders will monitor the final 00–06 UTC observations for any last adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 17 мая?
19°C 94%
18°C 3.2%
14°C или ниже <1%
16°C <1%
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
94%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
19°C 94%
18°C 3.2%
14°C или ниже <1%
16°C <1%
14°C или ниже
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
94%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest short-range model runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate an overnight minimum near 19°C for Shanghai on May 17, supported by moderate cloud cover and light southeasterly flow off the East China Sea that limits radiative cooling at the Pudong station used for resolution. Mid-May climatology shows typical lows clustered between 17°C and 21°C, with the current 88% implied probability for 19°C aligning closely to the historical mode under a stable high-pressure ridge. Minor downside risk to 18°C could emerge if skies clear after midnight, while upside to 20°C remains unlikely absent stronger warm advection; traders will monitor the final 00–06 UTC observations for any last adjustments before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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