Current GFS and ECMWF model runs show a stable springtime pattern over eastern China with limited cold-air advection, supporting a most-likely overnight low near 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18. Moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds off the East China Sea are the main factors keeping minimum temperatures in this narrow band, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in steering flow will decide whether the low settles at 19 °C or edges toward 20–21 °C. Historical May climatology places typical overnight minima between 17 °C and 22 °C, so the tightly bunched market odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty that the next major model update cycle within 24 hours is expected to narrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 18 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Шанхае 18 мая?
20°C 27%
18°C 21%
19°C 20%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
20%
20°C
27%
21°C
8%
22°C
10%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C или выше
<1%
20°C 27%
18°C 21%
19°C 20%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
15°C или ниже
$90 Объем
1%
16°C
$25 Объем
2%
17°C
$0 Объем
9%
18°C
$13 Объем
20%
19°C
$25 Объем
20%
20°C
$61 Объем
27%
21°C
$34 Объем
8%
22°C
$20 Объем
10%
23°C
$83 Объем
3%
24°C
$40 Объем
1%
25°C или выше
$51 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current GFS and ECMWF model runs show a stable springtime pattern over eastern China with limited cold-air advection, supporting a most-likely overnight low near 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18. Moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds off the East China Sea are the main factors keeping minimum temperatures in this narrow band, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in steering flow will decide whether the low settles at 19 °C or edges toward 20–21 °C. Historical May climatology places typical overnight minima between 17 °C and 22 °C, so the tightly bunched market odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty that the next major model update cycle within 24 hours is expected to narrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$444Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current GFS and ECMWF model runs show a stable springtime pattern over eastern China with limited cold-air advection, supporting a most-likely overnight low near 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18. Moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds off the East China Sea are the main factors keeping minimum temperatures in this narrow band, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in steering flow will decide whether the low settles at 19 °C or edges toward 20–21 °C. Historical May climatology places typical overnight minima between 17 °C and 22 °C, so the tightly bunched market odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty that the next major model update cycle within 24 hours is expected to narrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$444Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent GFS and ECMWF model runs show a stable springtime pattern over eastern China with limited cold-air advection, supporting a most-likely overnight low near 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18. Moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds off the East China Sea are the main factors keeping minimum temperatures in this narrow band, while boundary-layer moisture and subtle shifts in steering flow will decide whether the low settles at 19 °C or edges toward 20–21 °C. Historical May climatology places typical overnight minima between 17 °C and 22 °C, so the tightly bunched market odds reflect genuine forecast uncertainty that the next major model update cycle within 24 hours is expected to narrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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