Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 14°C at standardized stations like Paris-Montsouris, driven by persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime insolation and convective heating. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF model consensus forecasting subdued highs amid a broader cool air mass over Western Europe, well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this authoritative data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to virtual certainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from an overlooked urban heat island reading or station discrepancy, though final bulletins rarely shift post-verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$132,951 Объем
$132,951 Объем
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$132,951 Объем
$132,951 Объем
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official Météo-France observations confirm Paris's highest temperature on May 13 reached exactly 14°C at standardized stations like Paris-Montsouris, driven by persistent overcast skies, scattered showers, and cool northerly airflow that limited daytime insolation and convective heating. This aligns with pre-event ECMWF model consensus forecasting subdued highs amid a broader cool air mass over Western Europe, well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–19°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this authoritative data, with skin-in-the-game bets aggregating to virtual certainty. Realistic challenges would require a rare official revision from an overlooked urban heat island reading or station discrepancy, though final bulletins rarely shift post-verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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