Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (41.5% implied probability) and 16°C (38.3%), reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) hourly forecasts updated this morning showing an afternoon peak near 15–16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport amid mild southerly winds and partial cloudiness. Yesterday's high of 14°C sets a recent baseline, but today's high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover in latest model runs (including ECMWF ensembles) introduce upside potential for 17°C via enhanced solar heating and minimal sea breeze cooling. Key differentiators include timing of any convective clouds and urban heat effects; real-time FMI observations through late afternoon will clarify the diurnal maximum against May climatological norms of 14–16°C highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
17°C 40%
16°C 37.9%
18°C 9%
15°C 4.2%
$28,635 Объем
$28,635 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
38%
17°C
40%
18°C
9%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 37.9%
18°C 9%
15°C 4.2%
$28,635 Объем
$28,635 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
12°C or below
$3,072 Объем
<1%
14°C
$5,464 Объем
<1%
15°C
$3,466 Объем
4%
16°C
$1,629 Объем
38%
17°C
$1,495 Объем
40%
18°C
$2,412 Объем
9%
19°C
$1,916 Объем
1%
20°C
$1,644 Объем
1%
21°C
$1,421 Объем
<1%
22°C or higher
$2,732 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (41.5% implied probability) and 16°C (38.3%), reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) hourly forecasts updated this morning showing an afternoon peak near 15–16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport amid mild southerly winds and partial cloudiness. Yesterday's high of 14°C sets a recent baseline, but today's high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover in latest model runs (including ECMWF ensembles) introduce upside potential for 17°C via enhanced solar heating and minimal sea breeze cooling. Key differentiators include timing of any convective clouds and urban heat effects; real-time FMI observations through late afternoon will clarify the diurnal maximum against May climatological norms of 14–16°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Объем
$28,635Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (41.5% implied probability) and 16°C (38.3%), reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) hourly forecasts updated this morning showing an afternoon peak near 15–16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport amid mild southerly winds and partial cloudiness. Yesterday's high of 14°C sets a recent baseline, but today's high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover in latest model runs (including ECMWF ensembles) introduce upside potential for 17°C via enhanced solar heating and minimal sea breeze cooling. Key differentiators include timing of any convective clouds and urban heat effects; real-time FMI observations through late afternoon will clarify the diurnal maximum against May climatological norms of 14–16°C highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$28,635Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 17°C (41.5% implied probability) and 16°C (38.3%), reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) hourly forecasts updated this morning showing an afternoon peak near 15–16°C at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport amid mild southerly winds and partial cloudiness. Yesterday's high of 14°C sets a recent baseline, but today's high-pressure ridge and reduced cloud cover in latest model runs (including ECMWF ensembles) introduce upside potential for 17°C via enhanced solar heating and minimal sea breeze cooling. Key differentiators include timing of any convective clouds and urban heat effects; real-time FMI observations through late afternoon will clarify the diurnal maximum against May climatological norms of 14–16°C highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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