Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 15?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$130,818 Объем
$130,818 Объем
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$130,818 Объем
$130,818 Объем
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hourly METAR observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolution source via Wunderground archives, confirm the day's peak temperature at exactly 24°C during mid-morning under partly cloudy skies, with subsequent readings cooling to 21°C amid persistent broken clouds and high humidity. This aligns with cloud-induced suppression of solar insolation, overriding earlier China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting up to 27°C amid typical mid-May warming trends averaging 25–26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 24°C reflects real-time data dominance over models. Realistic challenges include late-afternoon clearing boosting temperatures before sunset, though diminishing solar angles make exceedance unlikely; final daily archive expected soon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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