Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Shanghai’s daily maximum clustering tightly between 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This narrow model consensus, with minimal spread and no major frontal systems or moisture surges expected, drives the near-even market split favoring 27°C at 39.5% implied probability over 26°C at 37%. Historical May averages near 25°C provide baseline context, yet current atmospheric stability supports a modest uptick. Traders will monitor the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates for any late shifts in cloud cover or wind that could adjust peak readings by a single degree before official resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 17 мая?
27°C 42%
26°C 37%
28°C 18%
29°C 3.8%
$36,576 Объем
$36,576 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
37%
27°C
42%
28°C
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 37%
28°C 18%
29°C 3.8%
$36,576 Объем
$36,576 Объем
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
37%
27°C
42%
28°C
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show Shanghai’s daily maximum clustering tightly between 26–27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This narrow model consensus, with minimal spread and no major frontal systems or moisture surges expected, drives the near-even market split favoring 27°C at 39.5% implied probability over 26°C at 37%. Historical May averages near 25°C provide baseline context, yet current atmospheric stability supports a modest uptick. Traders will monitor the final Shanghai Meteorological Service updates for any late shifts in cloud cover or wind that could adjust peak readings by a single degree before official resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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