Latest Met Office ensemble forecasts for London on May 17 point to an overnight minimum near 9°C, shaped by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight alongside a mild southwesterly airflow that limits deeper chill. This positions the 9–11°C outcomes as the tightest cluster in trader pricing because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical May minima for the city average 8–10°C, yet current model runs show slightly warmer guidance than climatology due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. With resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the London weather center, any last-minute forecast update from the Met Office could quickly reprice the 10°C versus 11°C probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 17 мая?
10°C 25%
11°C 25%
9°C 21%
12°C или выше 11%
2°C или ниже
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
6%
9°C
21%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C или выше
11%
10°C 25%
11°C 25%
9°C 21%
12°C или выше 11%
2°C или ниже
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
6%
9°C
21%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C или выше
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCLatest Met Office ensemble forecasts for London on May 17 point to an overnight minimum near 9°C, shaped by clear skies promoting radiative cooling overnight alongside a mild southwesterly airflow that limits deeper chill. This positions the 9–11°C outcomes as the tightest cluster in trader pricing because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can easily shift the low by 1–2°C. Historical May minima for the city average 8–10°C, yet current model runs show slightly warmer guidance than climatology due to above-normal sea-surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic. With resolution hinging on the official 24-hour minimum recorded at the London weather center, any last-minute forecast update from the Met Office could quickly reprice the 10°C versus 11°C probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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