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icon for Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

icon for Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

11% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
11% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in the remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 246 suspected cases and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has prompted swift monitoring by the CDC and Africa CDC, yet official assessments place the risk of spread to the U.S. general population as low. Containment efforts focus on the affected Mongwalu and Rwampara zones, supported by laboratory confirmation of 13 cases and ongoing genomic sequencing to identify the strain. Historical patterns show rapid suppression of similar outbreaks through contact tracing and border measures, with no imported U.S. cases reported since 2014. Trader consensus reflects this evidence, as the remote location, limited international connectivity, and established surveillance reduce the chance of a domestic case materializing before the June 30 resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$687
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The recent confirmation of a new Ebola outbreak in the remote Ituri province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with 246 suspected cases and 65 deaths as of mid-May 2026, has prompted swift monitoring by the CDC and Africa CDC, yet official assessments place the risk of spread to the U.S. general population as low. Containment efforts focus on the affected Mongwalu and Rwampara zones, supported by laboratory confirmation of 13 cases and ongoing genomic sequencing to identify the strain. Historical patterns show rapid suppression of similar outbreaks through contact tracing and border measures, with no imported U.S. cases reported since 2014. Trader consensus reflects this evidence, as the remote location, limited international connectivity, and established surveillance reduce the chance of a domestic case materializing before the June 30 resolution window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$687
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Ebola case in the US by June 30?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 11% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 11¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 11%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Ebola case in the US by June 30?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 15, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Ebola case in the US by June 30?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Ebola case in the US by June 30?» составляет 11% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 11%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Ebola case in the US by June 30?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.