Persistent polar air advection from the south, reinforced by a recent cold front, has capped São Paulo’s daytime heating on May 15, keeping the official maximum well below the month’s climatological average of 23 °C according to INMET guidance. Stable stratification, southerly flow, and widespread cloud cover have limited insolation, producing forecast highs near 19 °C from both INMET and CPTEC high-resolution models. This scientific consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 20 °C or below. Resolution hinges on end-of-day automated station readings; partial afternoon clearing remains the only plausible pathway that could push the observed high marginally higher, though model spread currently shows low likelihood of exceeding 21 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 15 мая?
20°C или ниже 99.8%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$64,994 Объем
$64,994 Объем
20°C или ниже
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
20°C или ниже 99.8%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$64,994 Объем
$64,994 Объем
20°C или ниже
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent polar air advection from the south, reinforced by a recent cold front, has capped São Paulo’s daytime heating on May 15, keeping the official maximum well below the month’s climatological average of 23 °C according to INMET guidance. Stable stratification, southerly flow, and widespread cloud cover have limited insolation, producing forecast highs near 19 °C from both INMET and CPTEC high-resolution models. This scientific consensus underpins the overwhelming market-implied probability for 20 °C or below. Resolution hinges on end-of-day automated station readings; partial afternoon clearing remains the only plausible pathway that could push the observed high marginally higher, though model spread currently shows low likelihood of exceeding 21 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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