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icon for Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?

Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?

icon for Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?

Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?

12°C или выше 22.0%

8°C 20%

9°C 18%

10°C 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

12°C или выше 22.0%

8°C 20%

9°C 18%

10°C 12%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

2°C или ниже

$52 Объем

1%

3°C

$52 Объем

1%

4°C

$65 Объем

1%

5°C

$244 Объем

1%

6°C

$47 Объем

1%

7°C

$10 Объем

8%

8°C

$5 Объем

16%

9°C

$15 Объем

23%

10°C

$0 Объем

12%

11°C

$0 Объем

8%

12°C или выше

$81 Объем

23%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$571
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$571
Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «9°C» с 23%, за ним следует «12°C или выше» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 23¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?» — «9°C» с 23%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Следующий ближайший исход — «12°C или выше» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.