Recent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Лондоне 18 мая?
12°C или выше 22.0%
8°C 20%
9°C 18%
10°C 12%
2°C или ниже
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
8%
8°C
16%
9°C
23%
10°C
12%
11°C
8%
12°C или выше
23%
12°C или выше 22.0%
8°C 20%
9°C 18%
10°C 12%
2°C или ниже
1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
8%
8°C
16%
9°C
23%
10°C
12%
11°C
8%
12°C или выше
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate overnight lows in London on May 18 likely settling between 7°C and 10°C under a mild westerly flow with patchy cloud and light showers. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds, with 9°C edging ahead at 24.5% due to ensemble agreement on minimum readings near dawn. A stronger Atlantic ridge could push the low above 11°C, supporting the 23% probability for 12°C or higher, while any clearer skies or northerly shift would favor the 8°C outcome at 14%. Historical May climatology shows typical overnight minima of 8–9°C, providing context for the current trader consensus amid stable spring conditions. Updated model runs expected tomorrow will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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