Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high in Qingdao on May 15, backed by confirmed observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 22°C mid-afternoon amid partly sunny skies and breezy southeasterly winds that triggered sea-breeze moderation. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected 21–23°C highs under partial cloud cover and coastal onshore flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms averaging 20–22°C for the region. A realistic challenge would require a rare data revision from China Meteorological Administration archives uncovering a higher reading, though finalized daily maxima seldom change post-midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 15?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$24,708 Объем
$24,708 Объем
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$24,708 Объем
$24,708 Объем
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high in Qingdao on May 15, backed by confirmed observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's official resolution source—peaking at 22°C mid-afternoon amid partly sunny skies and breezy southeasterly winds that triggered sea-breeze moderation. This aligns with forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, which projected 21–23°C highs under partial cloud cover and coastal onshore flow, consistent with mid-May climatological norms averaging 20–22°C for the region. A realistic challenge would require a rare data revision from China Meteorological Administration archives uncovering a higher reading, though finalized daily maxima seldom change post-midnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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