National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 indicate a sunny day with highs near 69°F at the official downtown or KSFO stations, driving the market's 82.5% implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from recent model runs including GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Clear skies overnight with lows around 53°F and west winds of 7-15 mph support efficient daytime heating after typical morning marine layer burn-off, above the historical May 15 average high of 67°F. The 14% odds on 64-65°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential persistent coastal stratus, though official guidance shows low risk. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine trajectories, with resolution based on peak temperature at the designated NOAA station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 15?
66°F or higher 82%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 2.4%
60-61°F <1%
$18,657 Объем
$18,657 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
13%
66°F or higher
82%
66°F or higher 82%
64-65°F 13%
62-63°F 2.4%
60-61°F <1%
$18,657 Объем
$18,657 Объем
15 мая 2026 г.
54-55°F
$3,155 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$2,781 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$1,172 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$881 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$2,440 Объем
2%
64-65°F
$2,400 Объем
13%
66°F or higher
$2,316 Объем
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 indicate a sunny day with highs near 69°F at the official downtown or KSFO stations, driving the market's 82.5% implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from recent model runs including GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Clear skies overnight with lows around 53°F and west winds of 7-15 mph support efficient daytime heating after typical morning marine layer burn-off, above the historical May 15 average high of 67°F. The 14% odds on 64-65°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential persistent coastal stratus, though official guidance shows low risk. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine trajectories, with resolution based on peak temperature at the designated NOAA station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$18,657Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 indicate a sunny day with highs near 69°F at the official downtown or KSFO stations, driving the market's 82.5% implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from recent model runs including GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Clear skies overnight with lows around 53°F and west winds of 7-15 mph support efficient daytime heating after typical morning marine layer burn-off, above the historical May 15 average high of 67°F. The 14% odds on 64-65°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential persistent coastal stratus, though official guidance shows low risk. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine trajectories, with resolution based on peak temperature at the designated NOAA station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$18,657Дата окончания
15 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on May 15 indicate a sunny day with highs near 69°F at the official downtown or KSFO stations, driving the market's 82.5% implied probability for 66°F or higher as traders align with this consensus from recent model runs including GFS and ECMWF ensembles. Clear skies overnight with lows around 53°F and west winds of 7-15 mph support efficient daytime heating after typical morning marine layer burn-off, above the historical May 15 average high of 67°F. The 14% odds on 64-65°F reflect minor uncertainty from potential persistent coastal stratus, though official guidance shows low risk. Hourly observations through afternoon will refine trajectories, with resolution based on peak temperature at the designated NOAA station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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