National Weather Service model consensus and recent surface observations point to a daytime high of 64–65°F at San Francisco International Airport today, driven by persistent onshore flow that maintains the marine layer while permitting only partial stratus burn-off beneath building high pressure. West winds of 15–20 mph, with gusts higher, suppress afternoon warming and hold readings below the May climatological average of 67°F, supporting the 43% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Lingering low clouds or thicker advection could limit the peak to 62–63°F, while clearer intervals allow a narrower window for 66–67°F. Hourly updates from official monitoring stations will refine these ranges through the afternoon as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
64-65°F 43%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 26%
68°F or higher 10%
$15,279 Объем
$15,279 Объем
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
43%
66-67°F
27%
68°F or higher
10%
64-65°F 43%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 26%
68°F or higher 10%
$15,279 Объем
$15,279 Объем
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
43%
66-67°F
27%
68°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service model consensus and recent surface observations point to a daytime high of 64–65°F at San Francisco International Airport today, driven by persistent onshore flow that maintains the marine layer while permitting only partial stratus burn-off beneath building high pressure. West winds of 15–20 mph, with gusts higher, suppress afternoon warming and hold readings below the May climatological average of 67°F, supporting the 43% market-implied probability for the 64–65°F bin. Lingering low clouds or thicker advection could limit the peak to 62–63°F, while clearer intervals allow a narrower window for 66–67°F. Hourly updates from official monitoring stations will refine these ranges through the afternoon as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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