Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 13?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$121,512 Объем
$121,512 Объем
13 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$121,512 Объем
$121,512 Объем
13 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
$8,057 Объем
No
17°C
$8,384 Объем
No
18°C
$21,944 Объем
No
19°C
$9,969 Объем
No
20°C
$8,915 Объем
No
21°C
$16,498 Объем
Yes
22°C
$15,141 Объем
No
23°C
$12,693 Объем
No
24°C
$8,186 Объем
No
25°C
$6,195 Объем
No
26°C or higher
$5,529 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$121,512Дата окончания
13 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$121,512Дата окончания
13 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 11, 2026, 12:18 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official AEMET observations at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 21.5°C recorded at 18:10 local time on May 13, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 21°C outcome as evening cooling sets in under persistent cloud cover. This aligns with recent ECMWF and AEMET forecast updates anticipating capped highs of 20–22°C amid a lingering frontal system suppressing solar heating, cooler than May climatological averages near 23°C. With the update timestamped at 22:22 past peak diurnal warming (typically 16:00–19:00), realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering an overlooked higher reading, though such adjustments are rare post-verification. Final daily RETAM summaries expected shortly will solidify resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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