AEMET's official 7-day forecast, updated as of May 15, lists a maximum temperature of 22°C for Madrid on May 17, aligning with the market's leading trader consensus and reflecting a cooler-than-normal air mass over central Spain during the May 11-17 week. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show modest spread around 21-24°C, differentiated by potential afternoon convective clouds, light northeast winds at 5 km/h limiting mixing, and 0% precipitation probability enabling typical springtime diurnal heating. Historical May 17 averages near 23°C provide context for the tight race, with resolution based on Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport observations; new model runs on May 16 could refine odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 17 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 17 мая?
22°C 36%
23°C 28%
21°C 13%
24°C 13%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
36%
23°C
28%
24°C
13%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 36%
23°C 28%
21°C 13%
24°C 13%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
13%
22°C
36%
23°C
28%
24°C
13%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDAEMET's official 7-day forecast, updated as of May 15, lists a maximum temperature of 22°C for Madrid on May 17, aligning with the market's leading trader consensus and reflecting a cooler-than-normal air mass over central Spain during the May 11-17 week. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show modest spread around 21-24°C, differentiated by potential afternoon convective clouds, light northeast winds at 5 km/h limiting mixing, and 0% precipitation probability enabling typical springtime diurnal heating. Historical May 17 averages near 23°C provide context for the tight race, with resolution based on Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport observations; new model runs on May 16 could refine odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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