Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place the most probable daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 between 23°C and 25°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 22–24°C, with the current signal shaped by stable high-pressure conditions and modest 850 hPa warmth across the Iberian Peninsula. Small differences among models in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two before final verification by the Spanish State Meteorological Agency. Traders are therefore weighing these narrow forecast uncertainties against historical precedent as resolution approaches in two days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 18 мая?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 18 мая?
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 18%
22°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
25°C 18%
22°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 мая 2026 г.
18°C or below
$240 Объем
<1%
19°C
$104 Объем
<1%
20°C
$676 Объем
1%
21°C
$79 Объем
3%
22°C
$76 Объем
9%
23°C
$276 Объем
26%
24°C
$34 Объем
36%
25°C
$168 Объем
18%
26°C
$77 Объем
6%
27°C
$63 Объем
2%
28°C or higher
$198 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place the most probable daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 between 23°C and 25°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 22–24°C, with the current signal shaped by stable high-pressure conditions and modest 850 hPa warmth across the Iberian Peninsula. Small differences among models in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two before final verification by the Spanish State Meteorological Agency. Traders are therefore weighing these narrow forecast uncertainties against historical precedent as resolution approaches in two days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,991Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place the most probable daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 between 23°C and 25°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 22–24°C, with the current signal shaped by stable high-pressure conditions and modest 850 hPa warmth across the Iberian Peninsula. Small differences among models in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two before final verification by the Spanish State Meteorological Agency. Traders are therefore weighing these narrow forecast uncertainties against historical precedent as resolution approaches in two days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,991Дата окончания
18 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDCurrent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place the most probable daily maximum temperature in Madrid on May 18 between 23°C and 25°C, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around those outcomes. Mid-May climatology shows average highs near 22–24°C, with the current signal shaped by stable high-pressure conditions and modest 850 hPa warmth across the Iberian Peninsula. Small differences among models in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two before final verification by the Spanish State Meteorological Agency. Traders are therefore weighing these narrow forecast uncertainties against historical precedent as resolution approaches in two days.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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