Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF project Miami's nocturnal low on May 17 clustering around 74-81°F, mirroring the even trader sentiment across those bins with 78-79°F slightly favored at 25.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent subtropical high pressure ridge over Florida, fostering warm moist air masses with dewpoints near 72°F that curb radiative cooling, alongside surrounding sea surface temperatures hovering around 80°F. Recent scattered showers through May 13 have sustained high humidity, elevating baseline lows above climatological May averages of 72°F. Differentiating factors include overnight cloud cover variability—lingering post-thunderstorm decks could push toward 80°F, while clearer conditions enable dips to 74°F—amid light southerly winds. Daily model updates through May 16 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official Miami International Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 17 мая?
Самая низкая температура в Майами 17 мая?
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 33%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 8%
73°F или ниже
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F или выше
<1%
76-77°F 33%
78-79°F 33%
74-75°F 8%
80-81°F 8%
73°F или ниже
4%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
4%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIALatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF project Miami's nocturnal low on May 17 clustering around 74-81°F, mirroring the even trader sentiment across those bins with 78-79°F slightly favored at 25.5% implied probability. This positioning stems from a persistent subtropical high pressure ridge over Florida, fostering warm moist air masses with dewpoints near 72°F that curb radiative cooling, alongside surrounding sea surface temperatures hovering around 80°F. Recent scattered showers through May 13 have sustained high humidity, elevating baseline lows above climatological May averages of 72°F. Differentiating factors include overnight cloud cover variability—lingering post-thunderstorm decks could push toward 80°F, while clearer conditions enable dips to 74°F—amid light southerly winds. Daily model updates through May 16 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official Miami International Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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