The dominant market consensus around a 74-75°F overnight low for Miami on May 16 reflects National Weather Service station data and buoy observations that recorded temperatures stabilizing precisely in this range after sunset. Typical May climatology for South Florida, driven by warm Gulf Stream waters and easterly trade winds, produces average lows near 74°F with minimal day-to-day variability, and ensemble guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction showed strong agreement on this narrow outcome days ahead. No significant frontal passages or anomalous radiative cooling occurred to push readings lower. A late-day sea-breeze shift or unexpected clear-sky radiative loss could have altered the result, but real-time surface analyses ruled these out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Майами 16 мая?
74-75°F 99.8%
73°F или ниже <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$20,932 Объем
$20,932 Объем
73°F или ниже
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90–91°F
<1%
92°F или выше
<1%
74-75°F 99.8%
73°F или ниже <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$20,932 Объем
$20,932 Объем
73°F или ниже
<1%
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90–91°F
<1%
92°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe dominant market consensus around a 74-75°F overnight low for Miami on May 16 reflects National Weather Service station data and buoy observations that recorded temperatures stabilizing precisely in this range after sunset. Typical May climatology for South Florida, driven by warm Gulf Stream waters and easterly trade winds, produces average lows near 74°F with minimal day-to-day variability, and ensemble guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction showed strong agreement on this narrow outcome days ahead. No significant frontal passages or anomalous radiative cooling occurred to push readings lower. A late-day sea-breeze shift or unexpected clear-sky radiative loss could have altered the result, but real-time surface analyses ruled these out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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