Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 14 мая?
12°C 100.0%
7°C или ниже <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$204,657 Объем
$204,657 Объем
7°C или ниже
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C или выше
Нет
12°C 100.0%
7°C или ниже <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$204,657 Объем
$204,657 Объем
7°C или ниже
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Да
13°C
Нет
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C
Нет
17°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget weather station confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 12°C, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability amid real-time data releases. Persistent cloud cover and northwest winds suppressed daytime heating, delivering unseasonably cool conditions below the typical May high of around 19°C and aligning closely with pre-event model forecasts anticipating maxima near 13°C. This positioning reflects verified thermometer readings from authoritative stations, with minimal uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from station audits or discrepancies across Paris-area sensors, though historical precedents show such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы