India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 40°C today under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave alert issued for the city. Recent observations reinforce this outlook: the high reached just 39.0°C on May 15 after 37.3°C on May 14, remaining below the 44.5°C threshold that defines plains heatwave conditions. Pre-monsoon climatology places the mid-May average near 39–42°C, yet current steering patterns and modest moisture advection have kept daytime heating in check. Traders therefore assign 99.8% implied probability to 41°C or below, reflecting alignment between official guidance and observed trends. Only an unexpected late-day surge in solar insolation or stronger dry northerlies could realistically push the reading into the low 42°C range before the India Meteorological Department’s final evening report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$25,739 Объем
$25,739 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$25,739 Объем
$25,739 Объем
16 мая 2026 г.
41°C or below
$5,160 Объем
100%
42°C
$2,662 Объем
<1%
43°C
$4,009 Объем
<1%
44°C
$1,431 Объем
<1%
45°C
$3,702 Объем
<1%
46°C
$3,075 Объем
<1%
47°C
$757 Объем
<1%
48°C
$935 Объем
<1%
49°C
$1,813 Объем
<1%
50°C
$776 Объем
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,424 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 40°C today under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave alert issued for the city. Recent observations reinforce this outlook: the high reached just 39.0°C on May 15 after 37.3°C on May 14, remaining below the 44.5°C threshold that defines plains heatwave conditions. Pre-monsoon climatology places the mid-May average near 39–42°C, yet current steering patterns and modest moisture advection have kept daytime heating in check. Traders therefore assign 99.8% implied probability to 41°C or below, reflecting alignment between official guidance and observed trends. Only an unexpected late-day surge in solar insolation or stronger dry northerlies could realistically push the reading into the low 42°C range before the India Meteorological Department’s final evening report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Объем
$25,739Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 40°C today under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave alert issued for the city. Recent observations reinforce this outlook: the high reached just 39.0°C on May 15 after 37.3°C on May 14, remaining below the 44.5°C threshold that defines plains heatwave conditions. Pre-monsoon climatology places the mid-May average near 39–42°C, yet current steering patterns and modest moisture advection have kept daytime heating in check. Traders therefore assign 99.8% implied probability to 41°C or below, reflecting alignment between official guidance and observed trends. Only an unexpected late-day surge in solar insolation or stronger dry northerlies could realistically push the reading into the low 42°C range before the India Meteorological Department’s final evening report.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,739Дата окончания
16 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 40°C today under clear skies and light winds, with no heatwave alert issued for the city. Recent observations reinforce this outlook: the high reached just 39.0°C on May 15 after 37.3°C on May 14, remaining below the 44.5°C threshold that defines plains heatwave conditions. Pre-monsoon climatology places the mid-May average near 39–42°C, yet current steering patterns and modest moisture advection have kept daytime heating in check. Traders therefore assign 99.8% implied probability to 41°C or below, reflecting alignment between official guidance and observed trends. Only an unexpected late-day surge in solar insolation or stronger dry northerlies could realistically push the reading into the low 42°C range before the India Meteorological Department’s final evening report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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