Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42–43 °C on May 18 under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of the pre-monsoon season in the Indo-Gangetic Plain. This aligns with climatological averages of 40–42 °C for mid-May while recent days have run cooler—37.9 °C on May 15—after western disturbances introduced cloud cover and lighter winds that suppressed daytime heating. Model consensus shows modest warming potential by the 18th without heat-wave thresholds, keeping the 42 °C or below outcome at 78 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next IMD block-level updates and any late-afternoon convective activity that could cap the peak. Resolution depends on the official observatory maximum recorded that day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 18 мая?
42°C or below 78%
43°C 18%
44°C 6%
45°C <1%
42°C or below
78%
43°C
18%
44°C
6%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
<1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 78%
43°C 18%
44°C 6%
45°C <1%
42°C or below
78%
43°C
18%
44°C
6%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
<1%
52°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature near 42–43 °C on May 18 under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of the pre-monsoon season in the Indo-Gangetic Plain. This aligns with climatological averages of 40–42 °C for mid-May while recent days have run cooler—37.9 °C on May 15—after western disturbances introduced cloud cover and lighter winds that suppressed daytime heating. Model consensus shows modest warming potential by the 18th without heat-wave thresholds, keeping the 42 °C or below outcome at 78 % implied probability. Traders are watching the next IMD block-level updates and any late-afternoon convective activity that could cap the peak. Resolution depends on the official observatory maximum recorded that day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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